Posted On: September 17, 2009 by Jo-Anne Yau

Sleeping Giants Can Fall to the Wayside: No Franchise is Immune

j0401806.jpg As I’ve been watching the changes in the in-home movie rental business and the continuing decline of the Blockbuster chain, I began to think about how critical it is for franchisors and potential franchisees to try to imagine what their particular field of business is going to look like in ten years. Franchising provides a great opportunity to own a business without having to invest a lot of money, but beware! Purchasing almost any franchise is still an investment and most franchise agreements are binding for at least ten years. The last thing you want is to invest in a franchise, only to have that industry becoming obsolete in a few years.

To use home the in-home movie rental business as an example, look at the changes that have occurred over the last ten years—VHS and VCR movies have become antiquated. DVRs (digital video recorders) like Tivo record several hours' worth of television, in HD, and allow rewinding or slow motion replay of live programming. And at my whim, I can order a recently released movie On Demand, for little or no cost.

Technology's evolution is not the only change that has occurred in the in-home movie rental business. As our society gets even faster paced, people have become much more conscious about saving time, and have become master multi-taskers. People want to eliminate excess trips to the store; if they can make one trip to buy their groceries, prescriptions, and movies, they are going to do it. Thus, we have seen a steady decline in Blockbuster franchises and an explosive growth in Netflix and Redbox kiosks.

So how would you evaluate the success or decline of a franchise? First, do some research and consult with a business expert to help you carefully consider how changes in technology or society might affect your industry of interest in both the short- and long-term. I team up with the franchise experts, Alpha Growth Strategies, and encourage my clients to consult with them. Second, bring a franchise attorney a copy of the business' Franchise Disclosure Document. The attorney can explain what your rights and obligations will be for the term of your Franchise Agreement.

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